Current Storms Around The World

Current Storms Around The World – The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is the third most active on record, and of the 21 named storms, Hurricane Ida caused more than $60 billion in damage, making it one of the five costliest hurricanes in the US since the 1980s. The names of the forecasters are out for two record years. in a row

Yearbook: All 21 named storms from the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season are seen in a composite image from NOAA’s GOES East satellite. The NOAA title is hidden

Current Storms Around The World

Current Storms Around The World

The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is now officially over, during which eight hurricanes hit the US coast. With 21 named hurricanes, 2021 is the third most active year on record, according to the National Hurricane Center.

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As repairs and rebuilding efforts continue, the 2021 Atlantic season will be the most expensive in history. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Hurricane Ida alone caused more than $60 billion in damage, making it one of the five costliest hurricanes in the US since the 1980s.

Current Storms Around The World

Ida hit Louisiana as a Category 4 hurricane with dangerous hurricane strength and strong winds and remained dangerous and destructive for nearly 1,000 miles as it caused catastrophic flooding in the mid-Atlantic.

Four storms — Tropical Storm Elsa in July, Tropical Storm Fred in August, Hurricane Nicholas in September and Ida in August and September — each caused more than $1 billion in damage, NOAA said.

Current Storms Around The World

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Due to the above-average number of named storms, 2021 is the second year in which meteorologists have run out of storm names since Wanda was named in early November.

This is the first time that the World Meteorological Organization’s initial list of names has been used by meteorologists for two consecutive years.

Current Storms Around The World

The NHC says there are an average of 14 named hurricanes per year. Before 2020, the only other time forecasters ran out of names was 2005.

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According to the NHC, the 2021 season continued the trend of unusually early hurricanes as it became the “seventh consecutive year with a named hurricane before the official start of the season on June 1.”

Current Storms Around The World

Larry, Mindy, Nicolas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, and Victor: The last two months of the season were relatively quiet after Hurricane Nine in September.

“Climatic factors contributing to this hurricane season include La Niña, above-normal sea surface temperatures early in the season, and below-average monsoon rainfall in West Africa,” said Matthew Rosenrans, seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.

Current Storms Around The World

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In August, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released an assessment report stating that “the global proportion of tropical cyclones reaching extreme levels (Category 4-5), wind speed and rainfall is certain to increase.” ” said the NHC.

2021’s busiest season is eclipsed by 2005’s record of 27 named storms (and one unknown) and 2020’s record of 30 named storms. In the early 2000s, a new field of climate research began. Studying human fingerprints during extreme weather such as floods, heat waves, droughts and storms.

Current Storms Around The World

This field, known as “extreme event attribution,” has gained momentum not only in the world of science, but also in the media and public imagination. These studies have the power to link the abstract concept of climate change to the personal and embodied experience of climate.

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Scientists have published more than 400 peer-reviewed studies on extreme weather events around the world, from wildfires in the US and heat waves in India and Pakistan to cyclones in Asia and record rainfall in the UK. The result is evidence that human activity increases the risk of certain types of extreme weather, particularly those associated with heat.

Current Storms Around The World

To track the evidence on this fast-moving topic, Carbon Brief has – to our knowledge – mapped every extreme climate attribution study published to date.

First published in July 2017, this article is the fifth annual update (see footnote) to include new research. The goal is to serve as a tracker for the evolving field of “extreme event attribution.”

Current Storms Around The World

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The map above shows 504 extreme weather events and trends around the world for which scientists have conducted attribution studies. Different symbols indicate the type of severe weather; For example heat, flood or drought. Colors indicate whether the attributed study was associated with human-caused climate change (red), no association (blue), or zero (gray).

Use the plus and minus buttons in the upper left corner or double-click anywhere to zoom in anywhere in the world. Click on an icon to reveal more information, including an excerpt from the original paper and a link to an online version summarizing the findings.

Current Storms Around The World

The filter on the left allows users to select a specific type of weather event or, for example, only those affecting climate change.

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Filters can be used to show extreme events in a particular year. (Note: Previous versions of this map categorized events by the year the study or analysis was published.) To filter studies that assess trends in extreme climate change, click the “Trends” box in the filter.

Current Storms Around The World

The software used to create the map currently only works with Web Mercator projections (as used by almost all major online map providers). It should be noted that this – like all map projections – presents a somewhat distorted view of the world.

It should be noted that the weather phenomena studied by scientists so far are not randomly selected. They can be high-profile events, such as Hurricane Harvey, or events at nearby scientific research centers. (More on this below.)

Current Storms Around The World

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The map includes three types of research. Circles and hexagons on the map indicate papers published in peer-reviewed journals. The different types refer to whether the study analyzes a single extreme event (cycle), such as wildfires or hurricanes, or whether it analyzes long-term trends (horizons) in extreme climates, such as changes in the frequency of floods or ocean warming. the waves The road of time.

The third shape – the triangle – indicates immediate attribute studies. These are rapid assessments of the contribution of climate change to extreme weather events that are published online shortly after the event. (More on this below.)

Current Storms Around The World

Finally, it should be noted that some marker locations are approximate – especially for studies involving large areas. For example, a global survey could be assembled in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean.

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The phenomena and trends shown on the map are covered in 431 individual scientific articles or research papers. Where the survey covers several events or locations, they are separated on individual sheets on the map.

Current Storms Around The World

Combining evidence from the last 20 years, the literature is dominated by studies of extreme heat (30%), precipitation or flooding (25%) and drought (16%). Together, these account for more than two-thirds (71%) of all published studies. The complete list is available on this Google Sheet.

As shown in the chart below, the number of extreme events studied has increased significantly over the last 10-15 years. Note that formal research usually continues for a year or more after the program, as the writing and peer review process for a journal paper can take several months.

Current Storms Around The World

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Most of the studies included here were published in the American Meteorological Society’s (BAMS) annual special issue of “Extreme Event Interpretation.” Each bumper volume typically contains about 15-30 peer-reviewed studies of the previous year’s events. Other studies were found through online searches through the Climate Signals database and journals. This update includes studies published up to the end of May 2022.

Specific types of programs can be displayed in the table below by clicking on the category names above.

Current Storms Around The World

Number of specialty studies by type and year. Note: The total number of events in 2017 is lower because the American Meteorological Society’s special report for that year was published in late 2017 rather than early 2018. Chart by Carbon Brief using HighChart.

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Most severe weather categories are self-explanatory, but “hurricane” and “ocean” require some explanation.

Current Storms Around The World

For ease of presentation, the category “hurricane” includes both tropical cyclones—such as hurricanes and typhoons—and extratropical storms. The “ocean” category includes studies examining ocean heat waves, hurricane intensity, and the strength of El Niño events.

New categories include “coral bleaching” and “ecosystem services”, reflecting current developments in attribution science. For example, a recent attribution study concluded that climate change increased the likelihood of Great Barrier Reef bleaching in 2016 by at least 175 times. And a 2022 study found that cherry blossoms in Kyoto in March 2021 were “15 times more likely” due to climate change “too early”.

Current Storms Around The World

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For this latest iteration of the map, a new category of “administrative” extreme events has also been added. With this

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